Political Risk

BMI View: Slovenia has cleared the final legal hurdle to euro adoption, helping secure the country's place as one of the most successful transition economies. Although the political... 2006-07-28

BMI View: Our expectation of Romanian EU accession in 2007 is tempered by the fact that the Union is likely to impose minor 'safeguard clauses' on its new recruits. These should augment... 2006-07-27

BMI View: Macedonia's EU entry is not going to be a quick process. Catching up with Croatia's end-decade target is possibly going to be too optimistic. The July 5 elections fell short... 2006-07-27

BMI View: Belgrade has drawn up an action plan for the capture of Ratko Mladic, the missing war crimes suspect at the heart of problems with negotiations with the EU and NATO. The... 2006-07-18

BMI View: The decision to scrap the High Representative will naturally cause some concerns that the pace of reform will slow in Bosnia. However, we think that it is a positive sign,... 2006-07-04

BMI View: The Montenegrin government is optimistic about its EU accession ambitions, though we believe the need for widespread domestic reforms and the Union's own enlargement fatigue... 2006-07-03

BMI View: Albania now has an EU Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA). This sets the country firmly on course for eventual accession, but the difficult domestic political... 2006-06-30

BMI View: Bulgaria has been criticised for the way it has used EU funds, increasing the chances that it will be penalised even after accession - which we still expect in January 2007.... 2006-06-23

BMI View: War crimes allegations against parliamentary speaker and leading HDZ party member Vladimir Seks have prompted instant denials, but also focussed public attention on the... 2006-06-22

BMI View: The price of Romania's progress on many EU reforms is popular unrest. Strikes, protests and waning optimism about the benefits of accession will add to pressure on political... 2006-06-05