Political Risk

BMI View: Political noise in Romania is not only stalling the reform process, it is damaging the country's macroeconomic prospects. Untapped EU funds and lost export revenue will... 2007-01-24

BMI View: The Serbian Radical Party has won the general election, though amid pressure from the West for a Democrat government, will be unlikely to take control of parliament.... 2007-01-22

BMI View: The success of achieving EU entry at the start of the year could soon give way to growing risks to political stability, as the broad government coalition loses a key... 2007-01-15

BMI View: With a national government yet to be formed, the reform process having almost ground to a halt and fiscal expenditure a concern, the chances of the Office of the High Representative... 2006-12-22

BMI View: In December, the war crimes case against deposed independent MP Branimir Glavas grabbed headlines once more, following his release from custody after a 37-day hunger... 2006-12-12

BMI View: The accession of Romania and Bulgaria on January 1, 2007 has helped push the EU's engagement with southern and eastern countries further up the agenda in Brussels. But... 2006-12-06

BMI View: Any lingering hopes for speedy EU accession in the Western Balkans have been laid to rest by the EC's latest enlargement report, with Croatia the only state almost certain... 2006-11-09

A Macedonian police reform bill has been described as violating ethnic Albanian interests by an opposition party in parliament, which has refused to participate in the debate. Though... 2006-10-27

The Czech political stalemate continues, though first-round local elections have strengthened the ODS position. We retain our core view of fresh parliamentary elections, possibly... 2006-10-26

BMI View: The October 1 elections were peaceful, but noisy affairs. The international community and sections of the domestic establishment are committed to moving Bosnia away from... 2006-10-12