Political Risk

Ukraine's presidential election campaign, the first since 2004's 'Orange Revolution', remains in full swing, and will dominate the domestic political environment through the remainder... 2009-11-26

Despite the appointment of a new Alliance for European Integration (AEI) government on September 25, we continue to see an elevated risk of parliamentary deadlock in Moldova. Indeed,... 2009-09-28

Ukraine's parliament remains dysfunctional, and we expect stability to deteriorate further in the run-up to presidential elections in January 2010. In the short term we highlight... 2009-09-08

The timeline set by Turkey and Armenia on August 31 to establish bilateral relations and reopen their common border marks a significant step forward in the relationship between the... 2009-09-02

The signing of a benchmark mining agreement between the Mongolian government and Canadian firm Ivanhoe , for the development of the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold deposit, is looking... 2009-08-25

Turkmen President Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov has tentatively affirmed his support for the EU's Nabucco pipeline, once again providing renewed momentum for the still dormant energy... 2009-08-19

The broadly peaceful passing of the first anniversary of the 2008 Russia-Georgia war bodes well for an abatement of immediate crisis risks in the region, given the focus of sabre-rattling... 2009-08-12

While the recent talks between the presidents of Azerbaijan and Armenia did not result in a breakthrough over the issue of the frozen conflict of Nagorno-Karabakh, we believe the... 2009-06-22

The Moldovan Communist Party is likely to again win a majority at the July 29 general election re-run, but it is far less clear that it will secure the 61-seat supra-majority required... 2009-06-18

Russia's decision to back out of WTO accession negotiations in favour of a new multilateral application as part of a customs union with Kazakhstan and Belarus, presents a significant... 2009-06-16