Political Risk

The construction of a new gas pipeline to potentially service Western European markets in Turkmenistan supports our view that the country's export diversification destination strategy... 2010-06-14

BMI View: Reports that Russia is planning to significantly recalibrate its foreign policy in favour of closer ties with the West appear exaggerated. While Moscow has a clear interest... 2010-06-03

We expect Uzbek President Islam Karimov to seek a closer relationship with Moscow over the coming months, particularly on the back of the recent political turmoil in Kyrgyzstan. While... 2010-04-26

Ukraine's long-expected foreign policy reorientation back towards Russia progressed further on April 21, when Kiev and Moscow signed agreements over two longstanding issues which have... 2010-04-22

Lingering effects from the 2009 recession will continue to impact the Russian government's popularity in the medium term, highlighting political vulnerabilities for both President... 2010-03-23

Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko dropped her legal case challenging the results of the second round run-off presidential election on February 7, which leader of the opposition... 2010-02-22

A new oil price agreement reached between Belarus and Russia on January 27 will ensure a renewal of oil supplies to Belarus, and onwards to European markets, at least until September... 2010-01-28

We do not expect parliamentary elections in Uzbekistan, held on December 27, to yield any significant changes to the make-up of parliament. Furthermore, with all four political parties... 2009-12-29

We expect Russia to remain Turkmenistan's largest consumer of gas over the medium term following a decision by both state's leaders to resume gas flows in 2010. However, with the... 2009-12-22

Moldova's parliament failed to reach the necessary 61 votes required to elect a president on December 7. Having now failed twice in reaching a consensus, we believe parliament will... 2009-12-08