Political Risk

BMI View: The ruling coalition has lost one of its chief constituent parties, Self-Defense (SO), following a row over next year's budget. We believe a re-configured coalition to be... 2006-09-22

BMI View: Hungarian Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcscany's current preoccupation with his own domestic political travails will take some of the pressure off official Slovak-Hungarian... 2006-09-19

BMI View: The precise outcome of parliamentary elections in October is hard to predict, but the risk of a change in policy direction is low. The next parliament is likely to be... 2006-08-25

BMI View: The only stable trend amid recent political turbulence has been the consolidation of power by the largest faction in the governing coalition, the PiS party. But it is debatable... 2006-08-02

BMI View: The new Smer-led government has released a programme committing to the 2009 euro target and toning down some of its pre-election pledges. We remain concerned over the... 2006-08-01

BMI View: A centre-left government has been appointed, with the tacit support of the conservative opposition. With relatively few seats in parliament, the government will be unable... 2006-07-31

BMI View: The interregnum in Czech politics continues. With the right and left deadlocked at 100 seats each, any administration formed would need the opposing parties to come to a... 2006-07-24

BMI View: As regards public finance reform, Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany is steering a dangerous course between a fall-out of investor confidence if the pace is too slow, and rebellion... 2006-06-28

BMI View: Finance Minister Zyta Gilowska's recent dismissal means pressures on 2007's budget will be higher. Risks could come to a head in late 2006, with pressure on the Prime Minister... 2006-06-27

Hungary's politicians could well have been accused of 'navel-gazing' in recent months, with both a pre- and post-election focus on domestic issues. Indeed, the question of foreign... 2006-06-08