Political Risk

Victory in a party leadership election leaves Czech Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek substantially strengthened within his party, freeing his hand to pursue reform and seek EU Lisbon... 2008-12-10

Further ructions in Czech politics renew threats to government stability. While we expect the ruling ODS-led coalition to survive for now, policymaking and reform are likely to remain... 2008-09-19

The Hungarian government's survival through 2009 now looks increasingly likely, having survived a vote calling for parliamentary dissolution on September 15. While this will serve... 2008-09-16

BMI View: The odds are certainly lengthening on the Czech government surviving through to 2010. The health and fiscal reforms are running into increasing opposition, and the coalition... 2008-06-27

The latest set back in negotiations between Poland and the US over the latter's proposed construction of a missile base suggests that time may be running out to get a deal approved.... 2008-05-15

BMI View: The government has suffered a major defeat in the referendum on charges for health services and university tuition. While a major public reverse for the Socialist Party,... 2008-03-10

We believe that with an agreement over the US proposed missile base looking increasingly likely to come to fruition, Poland will continue to develop its presence in international... 2008-02-15

Parliament approved the formation of a new government on December 20, two weeks after the administration led by Aigars Kalvitis of the People's Party (TP) resigned in the face of... 2008-01-07

Lacking in support in parliament and with elections a year away, there is an escalating risk that the government will do too little, too late to mitigate overheating pressures.

BMI View: Poland's government, in its present incarnation an unstable coalition led by the conservative Law and Justice (PiS) party, is looking more solid than at many points over... 2007-05-23