Political Risk

Russia's political leadership will likely feel unsettled by a recent dip in opinion polls and the growing perception among voters that the country is moving in the wrong direction so... 2011-03-25

We believe that corruption is set to remain a major impediment to an improvement in Ukraine's investment climate over the medium term, even following an anti-corruption bill passed... 2011-03-21

We expect the process of reforms to the business environment in Moldova to remain protracted going forward, despite EU threats to withhold aid. Indeed, we believe that the huge obstacles... 2011-02-24

The deadly bomb attack at Moscow's Domodedovo airport on January 24 is likely to result in a hefty domestic crackdown, with Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin keen to protect his... 2011-01-25

Our view that Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov was unlikely to remain in power has played out, after he was sacked by President Dmitry Medvedev on September 28. On balance we believe that... 2010-09-28

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko remains the most likely candidate to win the presidential election in the beginning of 2011, with power set to remain firmly concentrated within... 2010-09-09

Tajikistan faces multiple challenges to its political stability and security over the coming years, including its proximity to Afghanistan, the threat from religious extremism, authoritarian... 2010-09-01

Significant risks surrounding the EU-proposed Nabucco pipeline could see Turkmenistan's hopes to diversify energy export routes westwards fail to materialize. Should the project fail... 2010-08-04

Moves by allies of Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich to win back power for the presidency from parliament through the Constitutional Court could see a deterioration in Ukraine's... 2010-07-23

We believe that a near term breakthrough on the Nagorno-Karabakh frozen conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia will be extremely difficult to achieve, given the unlikelihood that... 2010-06-21