Political Risk

We believe that the fundamental path for Ukraine's political trajectory is coming to a head. Deteriorating relations with Russia, the EU and the US against the backdrop of flagging... 2011-08-16

Signs of worsening health conditions of President Nursultan Nazarbayev's, coupled with the absence of a strong candidate for succession, are a growing concern for policy continuity... 2011-07-26

We see little potential for a significant improvement in Tajikistan's security situation over the medium term. Despite a number of successes for Tajik security forces in the restive... 2011-07-25

Kyrgyzstan continues to face a number of challenges both internally and externally to its security situation. Inter-ethnic tensions and tense relations with its neighbours threaten... 2011-07-25

Back in late April we outlined our view that Russia's president after the March 2012 election will be picked beforehand by Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, who is widely tipped to return... 2011-06-23

The re-election of President Nursultan Nazarbayev on April 3 bolsters the nation's already sanguine short-term political outlook, with the president well placed to further his economic... 2011-05-16

We hold to our view that Turkmenistan's President Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov will maintain an ironclad monopoly on power. However, in the face of ongoing anti-government movements... 2011-05-16

Despite increasing signs of a power struggle between President Dmitry Medvedev and Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, we maintain that the latter will ultimately have the final word in... 2011-04-26

We view positively Kyrgyzstan's decision to join the Russian customs union owing to the political and economic benefits it will bestow upon the central Asian country. We caution, however,... 2011-04-19

Political tensions are rising between Ukraine and Russia, as the former moves into the concluding stages of negotiations regarding its Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA)... 2011-04-13