Political Risk

Despite Croatian Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor's optimistic view that Croatia's EU accession bid is progressing well, we continue to caution that several major issues are yet to be... 2010-09-24

Moscow's August 16 decision to expel Gabriel Grecu, a Romanian diplomat, from Russia is likely to heighten pre-existing bilateral tensions over the medium term. Grecu was expelled following... 2010-08-23

The proposed constitutional reform package in Turkey highlights an important continuation of the government's push to enhance civilian institutions ahead of next year's parliamentary... 2010-08-19

Although Serbia denounced the ruling of the International Court of Justice, which determined that Kosovo did not breach international law by declaring independence on February 17 2008,... 2010-07-27

In a sign that relations with Brussels could be on the mend and that efforts to tackle corruption are improving, the latest EU report on eradicating graft has painted a positive picture... 2010-07-26

A coordinated opposition demonstration in the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad held on February 4 attracted 10,000 protestors. The demonstration was organised by non governmental organisation... 2010-02-26

Underlying socio-ideological divisions will continue to pose serious challenges to political stability in Turkey for the foreseeable future. Sporadic crises on the back of ructions... 2010-02-26

In a positive move for Romania's path towards fiscal consolidation, Prime Minister Emil Boc's centrist coalition government agreed a plan on February 10 to reform the generous pension... 2010-02-11

Indications that EU aid payments to Bulgaria may once again be suspended have cast a shadow on the new GERB government's progress on eradicating corruption. While we view positively... 2010-02-04

Although we view positively the provisional closing of two further EU Acquis chapters on December 21, we still believe that Croatia will find it difficult to meet its 2012 target... 2009-12-23