Expect More Political Crises

Underlying socio-ideological divisions will continue to pose serious challenges to political stability in Turkey for the foreseeable future. Sporadic crises on the back of ructions between the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government and secularist institutions, including the military and the judiciary, should be expected. We stress though, that with the government maintaining a plurality of public support, that the likelihood of a permanent policy reversal or a military coup as seen in the 1980's and 1990's is limited.

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