Political Risk

The break-up of Mongolia's ruling coalition suggests that both major parties are likely to commence their campaigning ahead of June's parliamentary election. Should tensions between... 2012-01-27

The opposition movement of businessman Bidzina Ivanshvili is potentially shaping up to be a force to be reckoned with for the government of President Mikheil Saakashvili. However, it... 2011-12-23

The end of Igor Smirnov's 20-year reign as de facto president of Transdniester could welcome in a change in relations between Moldova and its breakaway region. However, while a more... 2011-12-22

We expect the recent decision by the European Parliament on December 16 to vote down a proposal to include trade in textiles in the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement with Uzbekistan... 2011-12-19

We expect current President Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov to maintain a firm grip on power following presidential election set for February 12, 2012. Moreover, given mounting concerns... 2011-12-19

The Moldova government has set November 18 as a date to select a president after two years of political deadlock. While the move creates new hope that a breakthrough can occur, there... 2011-10-26

Whilst it remains the case that Kazakhstan enjoys a high degree of social and political stability compared to other frontier markets, a spate of terrorist attacks in recent months call... 2011-09-28

We expect the current Prime Minister of Kyrgyzstan Almazbek Atambayev of the Social Democratic Party to win the presidential election this year. More important for the country and... 2011-09-26

Increasingly prominent suggestions by European Union policymakers that Ukraine's progress towards securing greater integration with the EU could be derailed by the continued trial of... 2011-09-20

We view Tajikistan's moves to deepen economic and security cooperation with Iran and Russia as paying dividends for the country's energy and military security outlook. Nonetheless,... 2011-09-14