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Political Risk

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Belarus

A new oil price agreement reached between Belarus and Russia on January 27 will ensure a renewal of oil supplies to Belarus, and onwards to European markets, at least until September... 2010-01-28


Uzbekistan

We do not expect parliamentary elections in Uzbekistan, held on December 27, to yield any significant changes to the make-up of parliament. Furthermore, with all four political parties... 2009-12-29


Turkmenistan

We expect Russia to remain Turkmenistan's largest consumer of gas over the medium term following a decision by both state's leaders to resume gas flows in 2010. However, with the... 2009-12-22


More ARTICLES

Moldova

Moldova's parliament failed to reach the necessary 61 votes required to elect a president on December 7. Having now failed twice in reaching a consensus, we believe parliament will... 2009-12-08


Ukraine

Ukraine's presidential election campaign, the first since 2004's 'Orange Revolution', remains in full swing, and will dominate the domestic political environment through the remainder... 2009-11-26


Moldova

Despite the appointment of a new Alliance for European Integration (AEI) government on September 25, we continue to see an elevated risk of parliamentary deadlock in Moldova. Indeed,... 2009-09-28


Ukraine

Ukraine's parliament remains dysfunctional, and we expect stability to deteriorate further in the run-up to presidential elections in January 2010. In the short term we highlight... 2009-09-08


Armenia

The timeline set by Turkey and Armenia on August 31 to establish bilateral relations and reopen their common border marks a significant step forward in the relationship between the... 2009-09-02