Political Risk

We have previously warned that Bosnia's political impasse poses a significant risk to investor confidence and to the economic recovery. With the IMF continuing to withhold financing... 2011-09-22

We continue to expect Bulgaria's Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) party to secure the seat of the presidency in the election scheduled for October 23. With public... 2011-09-21

Our core view that little momentum or political will exists to dislodge the parliamentary deadlock that has roiled Albania since parliamentary elections in 2009 remains firmly in play... 2011-06-22

With Prime Minister Nikola Gruevski set to win another term in office, it looks unlikely that there will be a swift resolution to the country's name dispute with Greece. While the... 2011-05-31

We maintain our view that Bulgaria's Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) party will maintain strong popular support this year and may receive a slight boost from recent... 2011-05-26

An attempt to create a parliamentary bloc in Bosnia's Muslim-Croat Federation, and the subsequent appointment of a new government, has been declared illegal by the election commission.... 2011-03-28

We affirm our view that Serbia's coalition government will maintain its hold on power through the medium term as internal ructions look set to be settled through a major cabinet shuffle... 2011-02-18

Bulgaria's ruling minority GERB party will face increasing tests to its power moving into 2011, as public discontent with the pace and scope of reforms undertaken so far is rising.... 2010-11-23

Macedonia's name dispute with Greece will once again come to the fore in the run up to a crucial NATO summit in November and EU meeting in December. In both cases, Macedonia's accession... 2010-10-22

Slovenian local election results reflected poorly on the governing coalition, with the main Social Democrats (SD) failing to gain significant support in key municipalities including... 2010-10-22