South-East Europe
The South-East Europe Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for the region. This includes online access to the latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.
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Slovenia / Economy
Real GDP growth expanded 5.4% y-o-y in Q108, above market expectations. The outturn was faster than the 4.7% y-o-y measured in the last quarter of 2007, as the anticipated slowdown failed to materialise. The Q1 result was favourable, and was in line with our view that the slowdown in Q4 data was not representative of a trend. However, we retain our expectation of a moderation...
2008-06-30Slovenia / Economy
Slovenia has reached the end of its six-month stint at the helm of the EU. During its time at the helm, the government led the international recognition of an independent Kosovo and...
2008-06-30Slovenia / Economy
Producer price inflation measured 3.7% y-o-y in May, down from 4.7% a year earlier. However, this headline figure disguises the uptrend in domestic producer prices, which at 6.3%...
2008-06-30Country Risk Rating
Slovenia
Slovenia has reached the end of its six-month stint at the helm of the EU. During its time at the helm, the government led the international recognition of an independent Kosovo and...
2008-06-30Lithuania
Lithuania's political parties are gearing up for parliamentary elections in October. The outcome is hard to predict but the consolidation of parties on the hitherto fragmented centre-right...
2008-06-30Bosnia-Herzegovina
The Steering Board of the Peace Implementation Council (PIC), which is charged with overseeing peace in Bosnia, ruled on June 25 that the Office of High Representative (OHR) should...
2008-06-27Czech Republic
Ireland's rejection of the Lisbon Treaty in July does not formally have any effect upon Croatia's hopes of early EU membership. However, it does leave the EU reform process in limbo,...
2008-06-27Slovenia
Real GDP growth expanded 5.4% y-o-y in Q108, above market expectations. The outturn was faster than the 4.7% y-o-y measured in the last quarter of 2007, as the anticipated slowdown...
2008-06-30Slovenia
Producer price inflation measured 3.7% y-o-y in May, down from 4.7% a year earlier. However, this headline figure disguises the uptrend in domestic producer prices, which at 6.3%...
2008-06-30Lithuania
Consumer price inflation reached 12% y-o-y in May and is likely to average at least 10% in 2008 compared to 5.7% in 2007. There are a number of factors behind the sharp increase in...
2008-06-30Bosnia-Herzegovina
We forecast economic growth slowing in 2008 owing largely to the indirect effect of a US recession and the direct effect of a eurozone slowdown. Indeed, the deterioration in external...
2008-06-27Serbia
We view the Socialist Party of Serbia's announcement that it will join the pro-Western 'For A European Serbia' coalition and form a government as a highly positive development for...
2008-06-24Bosnia-Herzegovina
We believe that Bosnia's signing of the Stabilisation and Association Agreement with the European Union (EU) on June 16 marks a positive step for the country's future political and...
2008-06-17Macedonia
We expect that the landslide victory of Prime Minister Nikola Gruveski's VMRO-DPMNE party in the Macedonian parliamentary election, held on June 1, will ensure that the country will...
2008-06-02Romania
Romania's municipal elections, scheduled for June 1, will be an important indicator of the political mood of the electorate ahead of the November parliamentary election. However,...
2008-05-28
