South-East Europe
The South-East Europe Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia and Turkey.
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Slovenia / Economy
Despite a lacklustre recovery and expectations for global demand growth to turn downwards again in H210, we maintain that another period of deflation is unlikely in Slovenia. We hold to our end-year consumer price growth forecasts of 1.7% and 2.3% for 2010 and 2011 respectively. Euro weakness in particular, is likely to ensure that the key food and energy price components of the...
2010-08-27Slovenia / Economy
A core Slovenian government policy to bolster local banks through loan guarantees and liquidity support measures is likely to continue through 2011. A weak macroeconomic recovery and...
2010-08-27Slovenia / Economy
Slovenian unemployment stayed flat at 10.5% according to latest data for June, reinforcing our view that the economic recovery will be protracted. Indeed, while Slovenia hit the trough...
2010-08-27Country Risk Rating
Slovenia
A core Slovenian government policy to bolster local banks through loan guarantees and liquidity support measures is likely to continue through 2011. A weak macroeconomic recovery and...
2010-08-27Macedonia
International pressure to resolve the name dispute with Greece will increase again ahead of the UN General Assembly in New York in September. Local press suggest that UN mediator Matthew...
2010-08-26Albania
Despite Prime Minister Sali Berisha's pledge on August 10 that his party was prepared to implement a European Parliament resolution investigating the still contested June 2009 parliamentary...
2010-08-25Turkey
The Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) will continue to pursue its gradual 'exit strategy', which it first announced in April, in a push to return monetary policy to pre-crisis conditions....
2010-08-24Slovenia
Despite a lacklustre recovery and expectations for global demand growth to turn downwards again in H210, we maintain that another period of deflation is unlikely in Slovenia. We hold...
2010-08-27Slovenia
Slovenian unemployment stayed flat at 10.5% according to latest data for June, reinforcing our view that the economic recovery will be protracted. Indeed, while Slovenia hit the trough...
2010-08-27Macedonia
The budget deficit reached EUR111mn (1.3% of GDP) through to the end of July, according to latest preliminary data. The monthly budget showed a small surplus (EUR13mn) in July, but...
2010-08-26Macedonia
The current account deficit fell sharply in the first five months of 2010, due to weak import growth and surging remittances. We target a shortfall of 5% of GDP in 2010, falling slightly...
2010-08-26Turkey
The proposed constitutional reform package in Turkey highlights an important continuation of the government's push to enhance civilian institutions ahead of next year's parliamentary...
2010-08-19Bulgaria
In a sign that relations with Brussels could be on the mend and that efforts to tackle corruption are improving, the latest EU report on eradicating graft has painted a positive picture...
2010-07-26Turkey
A coordinated opposition demonstration in the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad held on February 4 attracted 10,000 protestors. The demonstration was organised by non governmental organisation...
2010-02-26Turkey
Underlying socio-ideological divisions will continue to pose serious challenges to political stability in Turkey for the foreseeable future. Sporadic crises on the back of ructions...
2010-02-26
