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Central Europe & Baltic States

The Central Europe & Baltic States Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland and Slovakia.

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Latest Stories

Czech Republic / Economy

Czech industrial output rose 5.4% y-o-y in November, compared with a 1.7% increase in October, according to figures revealed by the statistical office. The growth was largely unexpected by analysts. The value of new orders increased by 4.0% y-o-y, while domestic new orders declined by 6.8% with non-domestic orders growing 10.6%. Seasonally adjusted industrial production expanded... 2012-01-30


Czech Republic / Economy

he centre-right coalition government has come together and tentatively approved a proposal from Finance Minister Miroslav Kalousek, also the leader of the coalition party Top 09, to... 2012-01-30


Lithuania / Economy

High levels of unemployment have prevented a meaningful recovery in our short-term political risk ratings for Lithuania. Indeed, although unemployment reportedly fell to 14.8% in Q311,... 2012-01-30


Country Risk Rating

Czech Republic

he centre-right coalition government has come together and tentatively approved a proposal from Finance Minister Miroslav Kalousek, also the leader of the coalition party Top 09, to... 2012-01-30


Lithuania

High levels of unemployment have prevented a meaningful recovery in our short-term political risk ratings for Lithuania. Indeed, although unemployment reportedly fell to 14.8% in Q311,... 2012-01-30


Hungary

Hungary's capital Budapest was rocked by protests once again on January 21, except unlike those in early January against changes to the country's constitution, these were in support... 2012-01-26


Latvia

Agencies within the Latvian government are deeming the coalition's decision to support EU sanctions against Belarus as short-sighted. The Employment Confederation of Latvia in particular... 2012-01-26

Economy

Czech Republic

Czech industrial output rose 5.4% y-o-y in November, compared with a 1.7% increase in October, according to figures revealed by the statistical office. The growth was largely unexpected... 2012-01-30


Lithuania

Despite overshooting our 2011 estimate of 4.9% real GDP growth - with the economy expanding by 5.8% last year - we believe that the sharp slowdown in economic activity in Q411 highlights... 2012-01-30


Lithuania

Growth in exports throughout the majority of 2011 was almost evenly matched by growth in imports, which has seen a continued widening of Lithuania's trade in goods gap to EUR1.45bn... 2012-01-30


Hungary

The most recent economic data released by the Hungarian central bank showed a slight narrowing of the current account surplus in the third quarter of 2011, to EUR380.6mn, down from... 2012-01-26

Political Risk

Latvia

We do not expect proposed changes to the Latvian constitution which would make Russian an official second language to pass either a parliamentary vote or the national referendum. It... 2011-12-20


Estonia

We expect tensions in the Baltic region to remain elevated in 2012 against the backdrop of an increasingly assertive Russian state. However, while we do not expect outright Russian... 2011-12-15


Czech Republic

We hold to our view that ructions within the Czech Republic's centre-right coalition will continue to challenge the government's cohesion. However, as a result of the common goal of... 2011-09-12


Slovakia

We hold to our view that Slovakia is unlikely to block either an expansion of the EFSF or the ESM on its own, but expect this issue to test the cohesion of the centre-right coalition... 2011-08-08

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