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Political Risk / Lithuania

Paksas’s Untimely Return

May 2004 | Political Risk Analysis

The Central Electoral Commission has confirmed the names of seven candidates for the presidential election in June, including the impeached former president, Rolandas Paksas. BMI View: Although we believe that the former president will be returned to office as a result of the election, we currently expect that Valdas Adamkus, who was defeated by Paksas in 2003 will emerge victorious. We hold this view despite the risk that recourse to populism could be employed in the run-up to the election in a similar fashion to Paksas’ previous successful

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