Emerging Europe Monitor provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for each country across the region. The service includes online access to the very latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive of articles and data, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.
Published by Business Monitor International, the emerging market specialists, Emerging Europe Monitor is broken down into three regional services: Central Europe & Baltic States, Russia & CIS and South-East Europe.
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Economy / Slovakia
The Slovak koruna will cease to exist on January 1 2009, and will be replaced with the euro at an exchange rate of SKK30.13/EUR. The strong conversion rate, at the newly revalued ERM-2 central parity, will help to ensure that inflation does not spike alongside the changeover. That said, the loss of independent monetary policy does raise risks to inflation over the long run, especially...
2008-07-08Economy / Hungary
Hungarian external debt has spiralled higher in the first quarter, rising by 34.6% y-o-y to hit a record EUR115.4bn. While government debt liabilities fell to EUR32.3bn, private sector...
2008-07-01Economy / Hungary
The leader of Hungary's Alliance of Free Democrats, Gabor Fodor, has ruled out rejoining a coalition with the governing Socialists on June 21. At the same time though, Fodor stressed...
2008-07-01Economy / Azerbaijan
On the back of rising oil prices, we have revised our Azeri government revenue and expenditure forecasts to the upside, though we are holding to our view that the surplus will come in at just under 1% of GDP. That said, we are concerned that the government's persistent upward revisions of planned spending will exacerbate existing inflationary pressures.
2008-07-03Economy / Kyrgyzstan
The latest data provided by the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic reports that goods exports totalled US$267.9mn during Q108, while the import bill came in at US$738.1mn, leaving...
2008-07-02Economy / Russia
Russian consumer price growth accelerated further in May to a 65-month high of 15.1% y-o-y. Part of the problem is the monetary authorities' generally lacklustre response to spiralling...
2008-07-02Economy / Slovenia
Real GDP growth expanded 5.4% y-o-y in Q108, above market expectations. The outturn was faster than the 4.7% y-o-y measured in the last quarter of 2007, as the anticipated slowdown failed to materialise. The Q1 result was favourable, and was in line with our view that the slowdown in Q4 data was not representative of a trend. However, we retain our expectation of a moderation...
2008-06-30Economy / Slovenia
Slovenia has reached the end of its six-month stint at the helm of the EU. During its time at the helm, the government led the international recognition of an independent Kosovo and...
2008-06-30Economy / Slovenia
Producer price inflation measured 3.7% y-o-y in May, down from 4.7% a year earlier. However, this headline figure disguises the uptrend in domestic producer prices, which at 6.3%...
2008-06-30
