Turkey

On October 4 Turkey’s parliament authorised of deploying forces in Syria, as tensions between the two counties increase. The vote came after Turkish forces carried out retaliatory shelling after a Syrian attack killed two women and three children in the border town of Akcakale on October 3. The UN Security Council criticised the shelling by Syria and said that the incident highlights the impact of the Syrian crisis on its neighbours and on regional peace and stability. Nevertheless, we believe tensions would have to deteriorate significantly for Turkey to invade, given that at present an all out war remains highly unpopular with the Turkish electorate.

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