Emerging Europe Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Emerging Europe

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - CEE: Renewed Eurozone Crisis Among Risks To Region's Outlook - DEC 2016

Central Europe & Baltic States October 2016 / Europe / Economy

Central and Eastern Europe will prove to be a bright spot in the wider Europe region over the coming years in terms of growth. Despite this, a number of risks to the outlook remain, including economic overheating, deteriorating competitiveness, increasing tensions with the EU and a renewed crisis in the eurozone


Economic Analysis - Recession Ending, But Recovery Will Be Subdued - DEC 2016

Russia & CIS October 2016 / Russia / Economy

Russia's economy is emerging from prolonged recession in H216 but we forecast growth in 2017 and 2018 to be relatively subdued when considering the scale of the downturn since 2014. Rising oil prices are acting as a short-term boost, but will reduce the urgency to implement badly needed structural reforms, thus maintaining the country's commodity dependence.


Industry Forecast - Sound Banking Fundamentals, But Mortgage Legislation Presents Headwinds - DEC 2016

South East Europe October 2016 / Romania / Industry

Sound banking sector fundamentals and a favourable macroeconomic environment will ensure that Romania records modest credit growth over the next two years. Despite this, the government's recently legislated mortgage law will present a headwind to lending.