Emerging Europe Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Emerging Europe

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - CEE: Labour Shortages Imperil Growth Outlook - JAN 2017

Central Europe & Baltic States November 2016 / Europe / Economy

Rising labour shortages in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) will keep wage growth strong, supporting private consumption but also putting upward pressure on unit labour costs. Absent strong productivity gains this will begin to undermine competitiveness, foreign direct investment and long-term growth potential.

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Economic Analysis - Recession Ending, But Recovery Will Be Subdued - DEC 2016

Russia & CIS October 2016 / Russia / Economy

Russia's economy is emerging from prolonged recession in H216 but we forecast growth in 2017 and 2018 to be relatively subdued when considering the scale of the downturn since 2014. Rising oil prices are acting as a short-term boost, but will reduce the urgency to implement badly needed structural reforms, thus maintaining the country's commodity dependence.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Romania - JAN 2017

South East Europe November 2016 / Romania / Economy

Macro Forecast

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