Eastern European market data, analysis and forecasts from Business Monitor International, the trusted source for business information and intelligence on global emerging markets.
Emerging Europe Monitor provides political risk analysis, economic forecasts and business information for trade & industry across the emerging European economies of Central Europe & the Baltic States, Russia & the CIS and South-East Europe. Emerging Europe Monitor is available as three printed, regional, monthly newsletters. Subscribers also receive password access to a searchable 24-month archive of Emerging Europe Monitor articles and data online plus the ability to download PDFs of current and back issues of Emerging Europe Monitor.
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Economy / Hungary
The most recent economic data released by the Hungarian central bank showed a slight narrowing of the current account surplus in the third quarter of 2011, to EUR380.6mn, down from EUR530.2mn in the second quarter. Going forward, owing to the deteriorating domestic economic outlook, we remain of the view that 2012 will deliver another surplus year, equivalent to EUR0.49bn (0.5%...
2012-01-26Economy / Latvia
We hold to our forecast for growth in the Latvia consumer price index to average 2.6% in 2012 on the back of data released by the statistics bureau, which also showed our forecast for...
2012-01-26Economy / Hungary
Hungary's capital Budapest was rocked by protests once again on January 21, except unlike those in early January against changes to the country's constitution, these were in support...
2012-01-26Economy / Armenia
Major global macroeconomic risks are set to keep Armenian growth subdued in 2012. The Armenian government is currently forecasting real GDP growth of 4.4% in 2012, according to its latest budget assumptions, exceeding the IMF's 4.0% forecast, and well beyond our below-consensus 2.0% forecast for economic growth this year. Although 2013 should offer slightly improved macroeconomic...
2012-01-26Economy / Belarus
Economic growth has been confirmed at 1.9% in the third quarter of 2011, down from 11.4% in Q211. Households saw a 0.7% y-o-y contraction in demand (down from 7.1% the previous quarter)...
2012-01-26Economy / Russia
We believe that the ongoing bull-run in the Russian rouble could soon run into some heavy resistance, as concerns over the state of the global economy mount and political uncertainty...
2012-01-26Economy / Croatia
We believe exchange rate stability will prevail in 2012 but expect a steady depreciation of the kuna against the major currencies on the back of a weak economic growth outlook and wider risk aversion towards frontier market assets. Given the aforementioned high degree of external obligations in the economy, we believe the stability of the kuna, especially against the euro, will...
2012-01-26Economy / Croatia
Croatia and Slovenia have agreed upon the makeup of an EU-sponsored tribunal appointed to arbitrate a border disagreement that stalled Croatia's EU accession bid in 2009. The disagreement...
2012-01-26Economy / Serbia
BMI View: Serbia's economic growth slowed to 0.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q311. The Serbian Statistical Office cut its preliminary estimates by 0.2% as trade flows and manufacturing...
2012-01-25
