Emerging Europe Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Emerging Europe

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Industry Forecast - Banking Sector: Solid Growth Ahead - JUNE 2016

Central Europe & Baltic States April 2016 / Czech Republic / Industry

A strong macroeconomic environment in 2016 and 2017 will support growth in the Czech banking sector, particularly due to strong domestic consumer demand. This will partly offset falling bank profitability due to record low interest rates.

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Political Risk Analysis - Multiple Obstacles To Lifting EU Sanctions In July - MAY 2016

Russia & CIS March 2016 / Russia / Political Risk

Although the EU's appetite for extending sanctions on Russia beyond July 2016 is waning, there are still many obstacles to lifting them this summer. One possible compromise would be a phased easing of the sanctions, which would still be tied to the implementation of the Minsk II accord in Eastern Ukraine.

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Economic Analysis - Robust Growth Will Moderate Over The Next 10 Years - JUNE 2016

South East Europe April 2016 / Macedonia / Economy

Structural reforms and a competitive manufacturing export sector will continue to drive robust real GDP growth in Macedonia over the coming decade, which will be further supported by a strengthening household sector. However, heightened political uncertainty and shifting demographic trends will restrict potential GDP growth and result in a deceleration by the end of our forecast period.

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