Eastern European market data, analysis and forecasts from Business Monitor International, the trusted source for business information and intelligence on global emerging markets.
Emerging Europe Monitor provides political risk analysis, economic forecasts and business information for trade & industry across the emerging European economies of Central Europe & the Baltic States, Russia & the CIS and South-East Europe. Emerging Europe Monitor is available as three printed, regional, monthly newsletters. Subscribers also receive password access to a searchable 24-month archive of Emerging Europe Monitor articles and data online plus the ability to download PDFs of current and back issues of Emerging Europe Monitor.
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Economy / Lithuania
Government expenditure rose 1.8% throughout 2011 to measure 37.5% of GDP, following two consecutive years of negative expenditure growth. However, despite our expectations for a change in government at the end of the year, we see general government expenditure falling by 2.4% to LTL38.79bn, or 35.4% of GDP, in 2012, as the current administration of Prime Minister Andrius Kubilius...
2012-04-30Economy / Lithuania
A change in government looks almost inevitable later this year, as Lithuania prepares for the parliamentary election scheduled for October. A recent poll by Vilmorus shows that support...
2012-04-30Economy / Hungary
Hungary's current account surplus came in at EUR1.45bn (1.4% of GDP) in 2011, in line with our forecast. While the surplus displayed a pronounced narrowing in Q411, we nonetheless expect...
2012-04-30Economy / Georgia
The sharp decline in consumer price inflation in Georgia in recent months has prompted us to raise the 'social stability' score of our short-term political risk rating for Georgia. Indeed, prices in Georgia have started to fall with inflation turning negative in March, measuring -2.2% on a year-on-year basis. We note however that a still elevated unemployment rate and lingering...
2012-04-30Economy / Moldova
The election of President Nicolai Timofti after almost three years without a leader is an important political breakthrough for Moldova, and a major triumph for its pro-EU government....
2012-04-30Economy / Georgia
We have raised our 2012 real GDP growth forecast from 1.1% previously to 5.4%, with trend growth now expected to settle at 5.0% through to 2016, which compares favourably with the 4.8%...
2012-04-30Economy / Bulgaria
Consumer price inflation in Bulgaria has continued to slow to 1.7% y-o-y in February, from 1.9% y-o-y in January. We expect the current trend of disinflation to continue in the short term; however we note that elevated global oil prices are likely to push consumer prices higher in H212, in line with our end-2012 consumer price inflation (HICP) forecast of 2.2% y-o-y. Despite the...
2012-05-01Economy / Romania
Romania's consumer price inflation slowed to 2.4% y-o-y in March, down from 2.6% y-o-y in February. In month-on-month terms, price growth slowed to 0.4% in March, down from 0.6% the...
2012-05-01Economy / Bulgaria
EU Commissioner Kristalina Georgieva commented on the EU Budget for 2013 by stating that EU's poorer members needed to do more to prove that they were in need of EU funds. According...
2012-05-01
